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Managing Project Cost Over Time: A Real-World Case Study in Weekly Project Spend

Updated: Aug 7


In the world of project management, tracking costs accurately and consistently is not just a financial obligation—it’s a strategic necessity. Whether you're managing a capital-intensive oil & gas project, a digital transformation initiative, or a government-funded infrastructure build, poor cost tracking can derail timelines, reduce stakeholder confidence, and threaten profitability.


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Marriage is often seen as one of the most important commitments in life. When we view it through the lens of project management, especially using the PMI PMBOK Guide Edition 7, we can uncover intriguing insights about structure, planning, and execution in relationships. This blog post explores whether marriage can be classified as a project and what we can learn from established project management principles.

Project Information

Here’s a look at the cost information for a project spanning 16 weeks, with the breakdown shown below:


Project Cost Information
Project Cost Information

Project Cost Baseline

According to the PMI PMBOK® Guide (Project Management Body of Knowledge), the project cost baseline is defined as

“The approved version of the time-phased project budget, excluding any management reserves, which can only be changed through formal change control procedures and is used as a basis for comparison to actual results.”

PMBOK® Guide, 6th Edition, Section 7.3.3.1

In Simple Terms:

The cost baseline is

  • The planned budget distributed over time (weeks/months).

  • What you compare your actual spending against.

  • A reference for measuring cost performance (e.g., cost variance, CPI).


Key Components of a Cost Baseline:

  1. Time-Phased Budget (e.g., how much is planned to be spent each week/month)

  2. Excludes Management Reserve

  3. Includes:

    • Direct Costs (labor, materials, equipment)

    • Contingency Reserves for known risks

  4. Used in:

    • Earned Value Management (EVM)

    • Forecasting

    • Performance reviews


 Why It Matters:

  • Without a cost baseline, you can’t determine if you're under or over budget.

  • It’s crucial for project monitoring, forecasting, and reporting to stakeholders.

  • Deviations from the baseline trigger analysis and potential corrective actions.

Establishing the Project Cost Baseline

To effectively manage and control project finances, we will develop a project cost baseline using cumulative cost calculations. This approach enables us to forecast and monitor the planned expenditure at any given point during the project timeline.

By aligning the cumulative planned cost with the project schedule and scope of work, we can

  • Visualize how costs are expected to build up over time (e.g., higher spending during execution phases, lower during planning and closing).

  • Establish reference points for measuring actual performance, enabling early detection of cost overruns or underspending.

  • Support Earned Value Management (EVM) by providing the "Planned Value (PV)" needed to calculate metrics like Cost Variance (CV) and Cost Performance Index (CPI).

This baseline becomes a critical tool for financial control, stakeholder communication, and strategic decision-making as the project progresses.

Now let us follow some basic steps to get this done:

STEP 1: Represent the information in a vertical table format as seen below, which is the same format given above:

Week

Labor

Material

Equipment/Parts

Total

Week 1

7350

10900

175

18425

Week 2

7350

0

0

7350

Week 3

7350

0

0

7350

Week 4

11550

100

625

12275

Week 5

4200

5800

0

10000

Week 6

4200

0

0

4200

Week 7

12600

365

225

13190

Week 8

15400

4320

0

19720

Week 9

2800

2875

0

5675

Week 10

5600

645

0

6245

Week 11

5600

0

0

5600

Week 12

5600

2400

0

8000

Week 13

1400

0

0

1400

Week 14

2800

300

0

3100

Week 15

2800

0

0

2800

Week 16

1400

50000

0

51400


STEP 2: We will now create a cumulative calculation.

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I will quickly use Week 1 to explain the table above. The given information in Week 1 is

Week

Labor

Material

Equipment/Parts

Week 1

7350

10900

175

So, the total weekly cost for week 1 will be 7,350 (labor) + 10,900 (material) + 175 (equipment/parts) = 18,425. This is how the weekly total cost is gotten for the rest of the other weeks.


For weekly cumulative cost calculation, let us see how this is done below:


Week

Labor

Material

Equipment/Parts

Weekly Total Cost

Weekly Cumulative Cost

Week 1

7350

10900

175

18425

18425

Week 2

7350

0

0

7350

25775

In order to get the cumulative cost for Week 1, I will use the same value I got for Week 1 total cost, which is NOK 18,425.

For week 2, the cumulative cost will be week 1 (cumulative cost) + week 2 total cost = 18,425 + 7,350 = NOK 25,775.


NOTE: NOK is the currency used in Norway, just like the $ is used in the USA.

The project cost baseline—also known as the Planned Value (PV) or Budgeted Cost of Work Scheduled (BCWS)—is shown in the plot below:


BUDGETED COST OF WORK SCHEDULE (BCWS)
BUDGETED COST OF WORK SCHEDULE (BCWS)

Key Insights to give the Project Manager of this project


Cost Trends:

  • Peak Cost Periods: Week 8 and Week 16—indicating intense activity (e.g., execution or closeout).

  • Low Activity Weeks: Weeks 3, 6, 13, and 15—potentially good for resource optimization.


What to Manage:

  1. Labor Costs:

    • Highest contributor to weekly costs in most weeks.

    • Ensure timesheet accuracy, contract compliance, and productivity monitoring.


  2. Material Costs:

    • Watch for large purchases (e.g., Week 16, NOK 50,000).

    • Align procurement with the schedule and avoid overstock or delays.


  3. Equipment/Parts:

    • Minimal but spiked in Week 4 and Week 7.

    • Coordinate delivery/usage to avoid idle rentals or delayed installations.


  4. Total Weekly Burn:

    • Ranges from NOK 1,400 (Week 13) to NOK 51,400 (Week 16).

    • Use this data for earned value management, forecasting, and contingency planning.



Recommended PM Actions


  • Review trends weekly against the baseline.

  • Align resource planning with the cost-intensive weeks.

  • Validate all procurement against material cost surges.

  • Monitor the final project phase to avoid over-expenditure.

  • Share insights with finance for cash flow alignment.



From Budget to Control: Why Your Cost Baseline Should Be A Significant Compass


Project managers often treat the cost baseline as a static document—filed away after approval. In reality, however, the baseline is one of the most powerful control tools during project execution.


Think of it as your financial GPS: each week of execution reveals whether you're on track, falling behind, or spending ahead of the value earned.


Want to Know How to Use It Effectively?


In our upcoming blog, the continuation of this series, we will examine how to monitor costs weekly across labor, materials, and equipment. By comparing actual expenditures to a clearly defined cost baseline, you’ll be equipped to answer key questions such as:


  • Are we spending ahead of our schedule?

  • Is the high labor cost in Week 8 aligned with progress earned?

  • Can we forecast a budget overrun before it happens?


What You’ll Learn in the Next Blog:


  • How to establish a realistic cost baseline

  • Techniques to track weekly variances and trends

  • How to use Earned Value Management (EVM) for smarter decision-making

  • How to communicate cost performance to stakeholders with confidence


Whether you're managing a construction project, IT rollout, or engineering shutdown, mastering your cost baseline gives you control, foresight, and credibility.


“Curious to see how it’s done in the next blog? Hit subscribe so you don’t miss out on any great tips!”


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